1, October 2018
Southern Cameroons conflict, rooted 100 years ago 0
Cameroon elects its president on October 7 against the backdrop of bloody violence in its two separatist English-speaking regions, which have vowed to not let voting take place.
Tensions can be traced back to events a century ago when Britain and France occupied Cameroon, taking over Germany’s major colony in West Africa.
Some background:
World War I split
Cameroon was a German colony until 1916, when British and French troops forced the Germans out.
The two countries divided it into separate spheres of influence that were later formalised by the League of Nations, the forerunner to the UN.
The much larger French colony gained independence in 1960.
A year later, the British colony also gained independence. Some of the English-speaking areas chose to join newly formed Nigeria, others to become part of the federation of Cameroon.
In 1972 the Cameroon’s federal structure was scrapped and it became one state.
English-speaking minority
Cameroon’s two mainly English-speaking southern provinces are home to around a fifth of its 23 million population.
Named the Northwest Region and Southwest Region, they jut into southeastern Nigeria.
The English-speaking areas are allowed some self-governance and national authorities have made concessions to their language, for example opening bilingual schools.
But many English speakers complain of discrimination at the hands of the francophone majority in education, the justice system and the economy.
Disputed ‘unity’
Calls for a breakaway English-speaking state mounted in the 1990s, with demands for a referendum on independence accompanied by low-level unrest.
In 2001 banned protest rallies turned violent. Several people were killed when security forces moved in and secessionist leaders were arrested.
The separatist Southern Cameroons National Council (SCNC) set up a “government” in Britain and leaders moved into exile.
2016 flare-up
There was a new outbreak of tensions in November 2016.
Lawyers in two regions, which are also strongholds for the political opposition, went on strike to demand the right to use Anglo-Saxon common law.
Teachers followed, protesting at the appointment of francophones in the regions’ education system.
The following month the national flag was torched at protests and a separatist version hoisted.
Demands for greater autonomy were rejected by President Paul Biya, in power for more than 35 years, leading to an escalation.
In 2017 anglophone separatists took up arms, attacking security forces and torching symbols of the administration, such as schools.
They kidnapped police officers, civil servants and businessmen, sometimes foreigners.
Biya branded the secessionists “a band of terrorists” and ordered a crackdown with curfews, raids and other restrictions.
In January 2017 senior secessionist activists were arrested and charged with terrorism and rebellion.
In an apparent effort to calm the situation Biya halted the secessionists’ trials in August.
In October separatists made a symbolic declaration of independence. “We are no longer slaves of Cameroon,” said Sisiku Ayuk Tabe, the self-declared “president” of a new republic called “Ambazonia”.
2018: election threat
The standoff has escalated into daily acts of violence.
It had degenerated into a “civil war”, the main opposition Social Democratic Front (SDF) said in April.
The International Crisis Group said in September that at least 400 civilians and 170 members of the security forces had been killed in a year.
The government says that 109 members of the police and security forces have been killed. The separatists have not issued a reliable toll.
Around 200,000 people have fled their homes.
Amnesty International has condemned a “horrific escalation of violence” and called for an investigation into crimes by both sides.
Hundreds of families have been fleeing the regions in advance of the October 7 vote, fearing an upsurge in violence.
Source: AFP



















2, October 2018
October 7: The Challenges facing Biya and Akere Muna 0
The Nkafu Policy Institute, are pleased to release a scientific, nationwide opinion pollof adult Cameroonians on the state of the economy, perceptions on governance and the democratic process, and voter preferences for the 9 presidential candidates. This survey, conducted with the support of the National Endowment for Democracy, interviewed 2,024 adult Cameroonians in all ten regions.
Interviews were conducted in 54 urban centers and 25 rural localities from September 10 to September 20, 2018. All interviews were conducted before the official start of presidential campaigns. This representative sample has a margin of error of +/- 3%.
The findings reveal a country in free fall. 79.1 percent of Cameroonians believe the economy is headed in the wrong direction. The poverty level is alarming. Less than 17.65% percent of Cameroonian adults earn more than 200,000 FCFA (~$400) dollars a month. Cameroonians are mostly concerned about the state of infrastructure in the country: electricity, water, bridges, roads, railways and sea ports.
Today, 90 percent of Cameroonians believe the road infrastructure is bad or very bad. A large majority of Cameroonians (82.17 %) want local administrators such as Governors to be elected by the people.
Cameroonians have very little confidence in the legislature (only 16.31 % support the work done at the national assembly and 14.48 at the senate); supreme court (only 18.15 % of support), central government (16.93 % of support); constitutional council (16.40 % of support).
The vast majority of Cameroonians (65.04%) believe the Anglophone conflict is the greatest threat to the security of the country and most do not support the government’s war in the Northwest and Southwest regions.
Only 7.84 % percent of Cameroonians support the use of force while 85.49 % percent believe dialogue or negotiation should be the way forward. Not surprising, the incumbent president, Paul Biya, is deeply unpopular after 36 years in power, managing only 29.82%percent of support.
Three opposition candidates stand out with the young 38-year Cabral Libii among the group with 11.24 percent. The other top two candidates being Mr. Maurice Kamto(12.65 percent) of the Cameroon Renaissance Movement and Mr. Joshua Osih(13.10 percent) of the Social Democratic Front.
The top three candidates were all within the margin of error. Mr. Libii’s is mostly supported among Francophone youths where he commands 19.37 percent support among those less than 35 years old. The biggest surprise is the very poor showing from Mr. Akere Muna, with a support of only 2.12 percent.
It is very clear today that if Cameroon’s opposition parties are seriously interested in winning the single-round presidential elections scheduled for October 7, 2018, coalescing between Mr. Libii, Mr. Kamto and Mr. Osih, or only two of the three would greatly increase their chances.
One must be worried as 49.65 percent of Cameroonians are concerned of the risk of post-electoral violence.
This survey, in very simplistic terms, shows a society in deep decay, with no sense of direction and very little agreement on the most basic processes. There is great concern that at the current pace the growing tensions between communities and various political actors may degenerate into popular uprisings as societal norms continue to be eroded.
There is great need, in the lead up to this presidential election, for a stronger involvement of the international community. It would be deeply unfortunate should the October 7 presidential elections further plunge the country deeper in crises. Strong actions must be taken to avert this real possibility. There is great yearning for a new consensus among Cameroonians, for a new beginning.
Source: Nkafu Policy Institute